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美联储或将继续激进加息 对经济造成冲击_我的网站

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一 |     BERLIN -- German authorities on Wednesday arrested an Iraqi man accused of involvement in the killing of prisoners and the amputation of a person's hand in his homeland as a member of the Islamic State group.The suspect, identified only as Abdel J.S. in line with German privacy rules, was arrested in the western city of Wuppertal, federal prosecutors said. He is accused of membership in a foreign terrorist organization and participation in war crimes.Prosecutors said in a statement that he joined IS by June 2014 and in the following months participated twice in the extremist group's “draconian public punishments.” In one case, they said, he was involved in the execution of at least six prisoners. In another, he is accused of providing security while the hand of an alleged thief was amputated.He and other IS fighters also allegedly took a person prisoner and beat and kicked the captive to extract information, the German authorities said. A judge on Wednesday ordered the suspect held in custody pending a possible indictment.。    

近日,美国消费者价格指数同比增速居高不下,已连续6个月高于8%。分析认为,美国持续面临通胀压力,而美联储为控制物价连续激进加息,将对美国股市乃至整体经济造成进一步冲击。美国住房和食品价格持续上行,分析认为这不仅将对消费者心理产生影响,也将影响美联储加息路径。目前市场普遍预期,美联储将不惜以经济增长放缓为代价,通过激进加息抑制需求,从而达到控制物价的目的。密苏里大学助理教授 费利佩·席尔瓦:截至目前,市场基本已经更新了关于下次加息的预期,我认为这已经明确了,市场预期下次将会加息75个基点,这是到目前为止最有可能出现的情况。美联储主席鲍威尔此前在全球央行年会上表示,美联储当前的首要任务是将通胀降至2%的目标水平,历史经验表明不应过早放松货币政策。这一强硬表态,被市场解读为只要看不到通胀数据明显好转,美联储就会坚持激进加息的货币政策,而这必将对美国经济造成冲击。密苏里大学助理教授 费利佩·席尔瓦:如果利率上升,你的资金成本就会随着时间的推移上升,你的消费决定(也会受到影响),因此消费者信心就会下滑,这是你能想到的最直接的影响。当然企业也会调整它们的投资和支出决定,它们将减少投资,减少工作岗位,而这对经济有类似的整体影响。简而言之,这就是货币政策的传导方式。《华尔街日报》日前分析称,尽管美国目前的就业数据尚可,但如果有人认为美联储遏制通胀的举措不会导致利率上升到足以妨碍就业的程度,那将是错误的。而包括美国前财长萨默斯在内的一些经济学家甚至预计,降低通胀的代价,将是美国失业率超过6%。

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Published on:15:14:27


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